Start Jared Goff. Goff is projected for 16.7 PPR points vs 16.2 for Geno Smith, and faces the 1st-toughest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Jared Goff QB · DET | Geno Smith QB · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 16.7 | 16.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 16.1 | 13.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.4 | 18.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 17.4 (QB13) | 15.8 (QB19) |
| Opponent | vs MIN | vs LV |
| Opponent vs. position | 1st-toughest (8.8 pts/g allowed) | 5th-softest (20.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | FLEX · Streamer | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jared Goff. Goff projects for 16.7 PPR points vs MIN, against 16.2 for Geno Smith vs LV: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jared Goff is projected to score more: 16.7 PPR points to 16.2 for Geno Smith.
The sources range from 16.1 to 17.4 for Goff and from 13.5 to 18.5 for Smith. The ranges overlap, so Smith outscoring Goff is a realistic result.
Jared Goff is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Goff at 16.1 PPR points, against 13.5 for Geno Smith.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Geno Smith has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Smith at 18.5 PPR points, against 17.4 for Jared Goff.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jared Goff plays MIN and Geno Smith plays LV in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Goff faces the 1st-toughest defense against QBs and Smith faces the 5th-softest defense against QBs, so Geno Smith has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jared Goff nor Geno Smith has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jared Goff is projected by 6 of them and Geno Smith by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.