Start George Pickens. Pickens is projected for 13.8 PPR points vs 10.8 for Keenan Allen, and faces the 6th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| George Pickens WR · DAL | Keenan Allen WR · IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 13.8 | 10.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.3 | 8.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.7 | 12.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 14.7 (WR16) | 12.0 (WR24) |
| Opponent | vs IND | vs DAL |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-toughest (27.4 pts/g allowed) | 7th-softest (35.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 19% target share (last 3) | 24% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start George Pickens. Pickens projects for 13.8 PPR points vs IND, against 10.8 for Keenan Allen vs DAL: a 3.0-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
George Pickens is projected to score more: 13.8 PPR points to 10.8 for Keenan Allen.
The sources range from 13.3 to 14.7 for Pickens and from 8.2 to 12.7 for Allen. Even Allen's highest projection is below Pickens's lowest.
George Pickens is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Pickens at 13.3 PPR points, against 8.2 for Keenan Allen.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
George Pickens has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Pickens at 14.7 PPR points, against 12.7 for Keenan Allen.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
George Pickens plays IND and Keenan Allen plays DAL in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Pickens faces the 6th-toughest defense against WRs and Allen faces the 7th-softest defense against WRs, so Keenan Allen has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games George Pickens has drawn 19% of his team's targets, and Keenan Allen 24% of his team's targets.
Keenan Allen has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Keenan Allen.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither George Pickens nor Keenan Allen has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). George Pickens is projected by 6 of them and Keenan Allen by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.