Start Germie Bernard. Bernard is projected for 11.4 PPR points vs 9.3 for Josh Downs, and faces the 14th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Germie Bernard WR · PIT | Josh Downs WR · IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 11.4 | 9.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.3 | 8.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.8 | 10.1 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.5 (WR22) | 9.3 (WR42) |
| Opponent | vs CLE | vs JAX |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-softest (31.8 pts/g allowed) | 4th-softest (38.0 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 26% target share (last 3) | 18% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Germie Bernard. Bernard projects for 11.4 PPR points vs CLE, against 9.3 for Josh Downs vs JAX: a 2.1-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Germie Bernard is projected to score more: 11.4 PPR points to 9.3 for Josh Downs.
The sources range from 10.3 to 12.8 for Bernard and from 8.4 to 10.1 for Downs. Even Downs's highest projection is below Bernard's lowest.
Germie Bernard is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Bernard at 10.3 PPR points, against 8.4 for Josh Downs.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Germie Bernard has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Bernard at 12.8 PPR points, against 10.1 for Josh Downs.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Germie Bernard plays CLE and Josh Downs plays JAX in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Bernard faces the 14th-softest defense against WRs and Downs faces the 4th-softest defense against WRs, so Josh Downs has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Germie Bernard has drawn 26% of his team's targets, and Josh Downs 18% of his team's targets.
Germie Bernard has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Germie Bernard.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Germie Bernard nor Josh Downs has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Germie Bernard is projected by 5 of them and Josh Downs by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.