Too close to call: Harold Fannin Jr. (11.8) and Jaylen Waddle (11.6) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Harold Fannin Jr. faces the 6th-softest defense against TEs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE | Jaylen Waddle WR · DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 11.8 | 11.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.4 | 11.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.9 (TE9) | 12.1 (WR23) |
| Opponent | vs NO | vs CAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-softest (17.0 pts/g allowed) | 13th-toughest (29.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 24% target share (last 3) | 26% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | WR |
| Our call | START · TE1 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Harold Fannin Jr. projects for 11.8 PPR points and Jaylen Waddle for 11.6, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 11.8 PPR points for Harold Fannin Jr. and 11.6 for Jaylen Waddle.
The sources range from 11.4 to 12.5 for Fannin Jr. and from 11.1 to 12.5 for Waddle. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Harold Fannin Jr. is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Fannin Jr. at 11.4 PPR points, against 11.1 for Jaylen Waddle.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
They share the same ceiling, 12.5 PPR points.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Harold Fannin Jr. plays NO and Jaylen Waddle plays CAR in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Fannin Jr. faces the 6th-softest defense against TEs and Waddle faces the 13th-toughest defense against WRs, so Harold Fannin Jr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Harold Fannin Jr. has drawn 24% of his team's targets, and Jaylen Waddle 26% of his team's targets.
Jaylen Waddle has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Jaylen Waddle.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Harold Fannin Jr. nor Jaylen Waddle has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Harold Fannin Jr. is projected by 5 of them and Jaylen Waddle by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.