Start DJ Moore. Moore is projected for 12.2 PPR points vs 11.8 for Harold Fannin Jr., and faces the 4th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| DJ Moore WR · BUF | Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 12.2 | 11.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.3 | 11.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 13.1 | 12.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.3 (WR28) | 11.9 (TE9) |
| Opponent | vs MIN | vs NO |
| Opponent vs. position | 4th-toughest (25.9 pts/g allowed) | 6th-softest (17.0 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 21% target share (last 3) | 24% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | TE |
| Our call | START · WR3 | START · TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start DJ Moore. Moore projects for 12.2 PPR points vs MIN, against 11.8 for Harold Fannin Jr. vs NO: a 0.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
DJ Moore is projected to score more: 12.2 PPR points to 11.8 for Harold Fannin Jr..
The sources range from 11.3 to 13.1 for Moore and from 11.4 to 12.5 for Fannin Jr.. The ranges overlap, so Fannin Jr. outscoring Moore is a realistic result.
Harold Fannin Jr. is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Fannin Jr. at 11.4 PPR points, against 11.3 for DJ Moore.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
DJ Moore has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Moore at 13.1 PPR points, against 12.5 for Harold Fannin Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
DJ Moore plays MIN and Harold Fannin Jr. plays NO in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Moore faces the 4th-toughest defense against WRs and Fannin Jr. faces the 6th-softest defense against TEs, so Harold Fannin Jr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games DJ Moore has drawn 21% of his team's targets, and Harold Fannin Jr. 24% of his team's targets.
Harold Fannin Jr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Harold Fannin Jr..
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither DJ Moore nor Harold Fannin Jr. has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). DJ Moore is projected by 6 of them and Harold Fannin Jr. by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.