Start Jahmyr Gibbs. Gibbs is projected for 23.9 PPR points vs 21.1 for Ja'Marr Chase, and faces the 1st-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET | Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 23.9 | 21.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 21.5 | 19.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 25.6 | 22.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 24.6 (RB1) | 19.9 (WR4) |
| Opponent | vs MIN | vs TEN |
| Opponent vs. position | 1st-toughest (16.0 pts/g allowed) | 8th-softest (35.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 86% carry share (last 3) | 18% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · Strong WR1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jahmyr Gibbs. Gibbs projects for 23.9 PPR points vs MIN, against 21.1 for Ja'Marr Chase vs TEN: a 2.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jahmyr Gibbs is projected to score more: 23.9 PPR points to 21.1 for Ja'Marr Chase.
The sources range from 21.5 to 25.6 for Gibbs and from 19.9 to 22.0 for Chase. The ranges overlap, so Chase outscoring Gibbs is a realistic result.
Jahmyr Gibbs is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Gibbs at 21.5 PPR points, against 19.9 for Ja'Marr Chase.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jahmyr Gibbs has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Gibbs at 25.6 PPR points, against 22.0 for Ja'Marr Chase.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jahmyr Gibbs plays MIN and Ja'Marr Chase plays TEN in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Gibbs faces the 1st-toughest defense against RBs and Chase faces the 8th-softest defense against WRs, so Ja'Marr Chase has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jahmyr Gibbs has drawn 86% of his team's carries, and Ja'Marr Chase 18% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Ja'Marr Chase.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jahmyr Gibbs nor Ja'Marr Chase has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jahmyr Gibbs is projected by 6 of them and Ja'Marr Chase by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.