Start Jahmyr Gibbs. Gibbs is projected for 23.9 PPR points vs 16.9 for James Cook III, and faces the 1st-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET | James Cook III RB · BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 23.9 | 16.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 21.5 | 16.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 25.6 | 18.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 24.6 (RB1) | 16.7 (RB8) |
| Opponent | vs MIN | vs BAL |
| Opponent vs. position | 1st-toughest (16.0 pts/g allowed) | 5th-toughest (18.5 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 86% carry share (last 3) | 69% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · Strong RB1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jahmyr Gibbs. Gibbs projects for 23.9 PPR points vs MIN, against 16.9 for James Cook III vs BAL: a 7.0-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jahmyr Gibbs is projected to score more: 23.9 PPR points to 16.9 for James Cook III.
The sources range from 21.5 to 25.6 for Gibbs and from 16.1 to 18.8 for Cook III. Even Cook III's highest projection is below Gibbs's lowest.
Jahmyr Gibbs is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Gibbs at 21.5 PPR points, against 16.1 for James Cook III.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jahmyr Gibbs has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Gibbs at 25.6 PPR points, against 18.8 for James Cook III.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jahmyr Gibbs plays MIN and James Cook III plays BAL in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Gibbs faces the 1st-toughest defense against RBs and Cook III faces the 5th-toughest defense against RBs, so James Cook III has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jahmyr Gibbs has drawn 86% of his team's carries, and James Cook III 69% of his team's carries.
Jahmyr Gibbs has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jahmyr Gibbs nor James Cook III has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jahmyr Gibbs is projected by 6 of them and James Cook III by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.