Start Jahmyr Gibbs. Gibbs is projected for 26.1 PPR points vs 12.8 for Saquon Barkley, and faces the 8th-softest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET | Saquon Barkley RB · PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 26.1 | 12.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 22.7 | 11.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 27.9 | 14.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 27.9 (RB1) | 12.5 (RB24) |
| Opponent | vs MIA | vs NYG |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-softest (25.0 pts/g allowed) | 11th-toughest (19.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 74% carry share (last 3) | 27% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jahmyr Gibbs. Gibbs projects for 26.1 PPR points vs MIA, against 12.8 for Saquon Barkley vs NYG: a 13.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jahmyr Gibbs is projected to score more: 26.1 PPR points to 12.8 for Saquon Barkley.
The sources range from 22.7 to 27.9 for Gibbs and from 11.5 to 14.7 for Barkley. Even Barkley's highest projection is below Gibbs's lowest.
Jahmyr Gibbs is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Gibbs at 22.7 PPR points, against 11.5 for Saquon Barkley.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jahmyr Gibbs has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Gibbs at 27.9 PPR points, against 14.7 for Saquon Barkley.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jahmyr Gibbs plays MIA and Saquon Barkley plays NYG in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Gibbs faces the 8th-softest defense against RBs and Barkley faces the 11th-toughest defense against RBs, so Jahmyr Gibbs has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jahmyr Gibbs has drawn 74% of his team's carries, and Saquon Barkley 27% of his team's carries.
Jahmyr Gibbs has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jahmyr Gibbs nor Saquon Barkley has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jahmyr Gibbs is projected by 6 of them and Saquon Barkley by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.