Start Ted Hurst III. Hurst III is projected for 8.5 PPR points vs 7.5 for Jaylin Noel, and faces the 8th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Ted Hurst III WR · TB | Jaylin Noel WR · HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.1 | 4.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.6 | 8.9 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs CAR | vs NYG |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-toughest (29.4 pts/g allowed) | 14th-toughest (31.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 10% target share (last 3) | 13% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Ted Hurst III. Hurst III projects for 8.5 PPR points vs CAR, against 7.5 for Jaylin Noel vs NYG: a 1.0-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Ted Hurst III is projected to score more: 8.5 PPR points to 7.5 for Jaylin Noel.
The sources range from 7.1 to 10.6 for Hurst III and from 4.9 to 8.9 for Noel. The ranges overlap, so Noel outscoring Hurst III is a realistic result.
Ted Hurst III is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Hurst III at 7.1 PPR points, against 4.9 for Jaylin Noel.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Ted Hurst III has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Hurst III at 10.6 PPR points, against 8.9 for Jaylin Noel.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Ted Hurst III plays CAR and Jaylin Noel plays NYG in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Hurst III faces the 8th-toughest defense against WRs and Noel faces the 14th-toughest defense against WRs, so Jaylin Noel has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Ted Hurst III has drawn 10% of his team's targets, and Jaylin Noel 13% of his team's targets.
Jaylin Noel has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Jaylin Noel.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Ted Hurst III nor Jaylin Noel has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Ted Hurst III is projected by 4 of them and Jaylin Noel by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.