Start J.K. Dobbins. Dobbins is projected for 11.7 PPR points vs 11.4 for Tyler Warren, and faces the 14th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| J.K. Dobbins RB · DEN | Tyler Warren TE · IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 11.7 | 11.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 9.6 | 11.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.0 | 11.4 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs ARI | Bye |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-toughest (20.4 pts/g allowed) | — |
| Recent usage | 58% carry share (last 3) | 22% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | TE |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start J.K. Dobbins. Dobbins projects for 11.7 PPR points vs ARI, against 11.4 for Tyler Warren on a bye: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
J.K. Dobbins is projected to score more: 11.7 PPR points to 11.4 for Tyler Warren.
The sources range from 9.6 to 14.0 for Dobbins and from 11.4 to 11.4 for Warren. The ranges overlap, so Warren outscoring Dobbins is a realistic result.
Tyler Warren is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Warren at 11.4 PPR points, against 9.6 for J.K. Dobbins.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
J.K. Dobbins has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Dobbins at 14.0 PPR points, against 11.4 for Tyler Warren.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
J.K. Dobbins plays ARI and Tyler Warren is on a bye in Week 7.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games J.K. Dobbins has drawn 58% of his team's carries, and Tyler Warren 22% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Tyler Warren.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
J.K. Dobbins has no injury designation, and Tyler Warren is on a bye.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). J.K. Dobbins is projected by 5 of them and Tyler Warren by 1.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.