Too close to call: Aaron Jones Sr. (11.4) and Tyler Warren (11.4) project within 0.0 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Aaron Jones Sr. faces the 6th-softest defense against RBs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Aaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN | Tyler Warren TE · IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 11.4 | 11.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.5 | 11.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.7 | 11.4 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs IND | Bye |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-softest (23.9 pts/g allowed) | — |
| Recent usage | 69% carry share (last 3) | 22% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | TE |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Aaron Jones Sr. projects for 11.4 PPR points and Tyler Warren for 11.4, within 0.0 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 11.4 PPR points for Aaron Jones Sr. and 11.4 for Tyler Warren.
The sources range from 8.5 to 12.7 for Jones Sr. and from 11.4 to 11.4 for Warren. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Tyler Warren is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Warren at 11.4 PPR points, against 8.5 for Aaron Jones Sr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Aaron Jones Sr. has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Jones Sr. at 12.7 PPR points, against 11.4 for Tyler Warren.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Aaron Jones Sr. plays IND and Tyler Warren is on a bye in Week 7.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Aaron Jones Sr. has drawn 69% of his team's carries, and Tyler Warren 22% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Tyler Warren.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Aaron Jones Sr. has no injury designation, and Tyler Warren is on a bye.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Aaron Jones Sr. is projected by 5 of them and Tyler Warren by 1.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.