Start Tony Pollard. Pollard is projected for 13.1 PPR points vs 9.3 for Josh Downs, and faces the 4th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Tony Pollard RB · TEN | Josh Downs WR · IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 13.1 | 9.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 12.1 | 8.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.1 | 10.1 |
| StatChasers projection | 13.0 (RB21) | 9.3 (WR42) |
| Opponent | vs CIN | vs JAX |
| Opponent vs. position | 4th-toughest (17.9 pts/g allowed) | 4th-softest (38.0 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 82% carry share (last 3) | 18% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · RB2 | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Tony Pollard. Pollard projects for 13.1 PPR points vs CIN, against 9.3 for Josh Downs vs JAX: a 3.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Tony Pollard is projected to score more: 13.1 PPR points to 9.3 for Josh Downs.
The sources range from 12.1 to 14.1 for Pollard and from 8.4 to 10.1 for Downs. Even Downs's highest projection is below Pollard's lowest.
Tony Pollard is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Pollard at 12.1 PPR points, against 8.4 for Josh Downs.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Tony Pollard has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Pollard at 14.1 PPR points, against 10.1 for Josh Downs.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Tony Pollard plays CIN and Josh Downs plays JAX in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Pollard faces the 4th-toughest defense against RBs and Downs faces the 4th-softest defense against WRs, so Josh Downs has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Tony Pollard has drawn 82% of his team's carries, and Josh Downs 18% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Josh Downs.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Tony Pollard nor Josh Downs has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Tony Pollard is projected by 6 of them and Josh Downs by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.