Start Luther Burden III. Burden III is projected for 12.8 PPR points vs 10.6 for KC Concepcion Jr., and faces the 1st-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Luther Burden III WR · CHI | KC Concepcion Jr. WR · CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 12.8 | 10.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 12.3 | 10.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 13.4 | 11.4 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.4 (WR23) | 11.3 (WR27) |
| Opponent | vs SEA | vs PIT |
| Opponent vs. position | 1st-toughest (20.9 pts/g allowed) | 14th-toughest (30.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 18% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Luther Burden III. Burden III projects for 12.8 PPR points vs SEA, against 10.6 for KC Concepcion Jr. vs PIT: a 2.2-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Luther Burden III is projected to score more: 12.8 PPR points to 10.6 for KC Concepcion Jr..
The sources range from 12.3 to 13.4 for Burden III and from 10.1 to 11.4 for Concepcion Jr.. Even Concepcion Jr.'s highest projection is below Burden III's lowest.
Luther Burden III is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Burden III at 12.3 PPR points, against 10.1 for KC Concepcion Jr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Luther Burden III has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Burden III at 13.4 PPR points, against 11.4 for KC Concepcion Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Luther Burden III plays SEA and KC Concepcion Jr. plays PIT in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Burden III faces the 1st-toughest defense against WRs and Concepcion Jr. faces the 14th-toughest defense against WRs, so KC Concepcion Jr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Luther Burden III has drawn 18% of his team's targets, and KC Concepcion Jr. 19% of his team's targets.
KC Concepcion Jr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is KC Concepcion Jr..
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Luther Burden III nor KC Concepcion Jr. has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Luther Burden III is projected by 5 of them and KC Concepcion Jr. by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.