Start Ty Johnson. Johnson is projected for 5.5 PPR points vs 5.2 for Keaton Mitchell, and faces the 5th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Ty Johnson RB · BUF | Keaton Mitchell RB · LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 5.5 | 5.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 4.1 | 4.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 6.1 | 5.9 |
| StatChasers projection | 5.6 (RB43) | 5.1 (RB46) |
| Opponent | vs BAL | vs LAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 5th-toughest (18.5 pts/g allowed) | 14th-toughest (20.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 2% carry share (last 3) | 21% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Ty Johnson. Johnson projects for 5.5 PPR points vs BAL, against 5.2 for Keaton Mitchell vs LAR: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Ty Johnson is projected to score more: 5.5 PPR points to 5.2 for Keaton Mitchell.
The sources range from 4.1 to 6.1 for Johnson and from 4.0 to 5.9 for Mitchell. The ranges overlap, so Mitchell outscoring Johnson is a realistic result.
Ty Johnson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Johnson at 4.1 PPR points, against 4.0 for Keaton Mitchell.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Ty Johnson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Johnson at 6.1 PPR points, against 5.9 for Keaton Mitchell.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Ty Johnson plays BAL and Keaton Mitchell plays LAR in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Johnson faces the 5th-toughest defense against RBs and Mitchell faces the 14th-toughest defense against RBs, so Keaton Mitchell has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Ty Johnson has drawn 2% of his team's carries, and Keaton Mitchell 21% of his team's carries.
Keaton Mitchell has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Ty Johnson nor Keaton Mitchell has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Ty Johnson is projected by 6 of them and Keaton Mitchell by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.