Start Kyren Williams. Williams is projected for 17.2 PPR points vs 13.7 for Ollie Gordon II, and faces the 9th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Kyren Williams RB · LAR | Ollie Gordon II RB · MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 17.2 | 13.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 15.8 | 11.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 18.7 | 16.4 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.0 (RB12) | 14.4 (RB17) |
| Opponent | vs WAS | vs DET |
| Opponent vs. position | 9th-toughest (19.5 pts/g allowed) | 4th-toughest (18.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 49% carry share (last 3) | 63% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Kyren Williams. Williams projects for 17.2 PPR points vs WAS, against 13.7 for Ollie Gordon II vs DET: a 3.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Kyren Williams is projected to score more: 17.2 PPR points to 13.7 for Ollie Gordon II.
The sources range from 15.8 to 18.7 for Williams and from 11.1 to 16.4 for Gordon II. The ranges overlap, so Gordon II outscoring Williams is a realistic result.
Kyren Williams is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Williams at 15.8 PPR points, against 11.1 for Ollie Gordon II.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Kyren Williams has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Williams at 18.7 PPR points, against 16.4 for Ollie Gordon II.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Kyren Williams plays WAS and Ollie Gordon II plays DET in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Williams faces the 9th-toughest defense against RBs and Gordon II faces the 4th-toughest defense against RBs, so Kyren Williams has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Kyren Williams has drawn 49% of his team's carries, and Ollie Gordon II 63% of his team's carries.
Ollie Gordon II has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Kyren Williams nor Ollie Gordon II has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Kyren Williams is projected by 6 of them and Ollie Gordon II by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.