Too close to call: Saquon Barkley (14.5) and Matthew Golden (14.3) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Saquon Barkley faces the 11th-softest defense against RBs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Saquon Barkley RB · PHI | Matthew Golden WR · GB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 14.5 | 14.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.9 | 10.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 15.2 | 16.9 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs DAL | vs DET |
| Opponent vs. position | 11th-softest (23.2 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-softest (41.0 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 27% carry share (last 3) | 27% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Saquon Barkley projects for 14.5 PPR points and Matthew Golden for 14.3, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 14.5 PPR points for Saquon Barkley and 14.3 for Matthew Golden.
The sources range from 13.9 to 15.2 for Barkley and from 10.5 to 16.9 for Golden. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Saquon Barkley is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Barkley at 13.9 PPR points, against 10.5 for Matthew Golden.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Matthew Golden has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Golden at 16.9 PPR points, against 15.2 for Saquon Barkley.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Saquon Barkley plays DAL and Matthew Golden plays DET in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Barkley faces the 11th-softest defense against RBs and Golden faces the 2nd-softest defense against WRs, so Matthew Golden has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Saquon Barkley has drawn 27% of his team's carries, and Matthew Golden 27% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Matthew Golden.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Saquon Barkley nor Matthew Golden has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Saquon Barkley is projected by 5 of them and Matthew Golden by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.