Start Pat Freiermuth. Freiermuth is projected for 8.2 PPR points vs 7.8 for Mike Gesicki, and faces the 14th-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Pat Freiermuth TE · PIT | Mike Gesicki TE · CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 8.2 | 7.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 9.4 | 8.3 |
| StatChasers projection | 7.3 (TE22) | 7.3 (TE21) |
| Opponent | vs CLE | vs TEN |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-softest (13.6 pts/g allowed) | 8th-toughest (10.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 14% target share (last 3) | 7% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Pat Freiermuth. Freiermuth projects for 8.2 PPR points vs CLE, against 7.8 for Mike Gesicki vs TEN: a 0.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Pat Freiermuth is projected to score more: 8.2 PPR points to 7.8 for Mike Gesicki.
The sources range from 7.0 to 9.4 for Freiermuth and from 7.0 to 8.3 for Gesicki. The ranges overlap, so Gesicki outscoring Freiermuth is a realistic result.
They share the same floor, 7.0 PPR points.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Pat Freiermuth has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Freiermuth at 9.4 PPR points, against 8.3 for Mike Gesicki.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Pat Freiermuth plays CLE and Mike Gesicki plays TEN in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Freiermuth faces the 14th-softest defense against TEs and Gesicki faces the 8th-toughest defense against TEs, so Pat Freiermuth has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Pat Freiermuth has drawn 14% of his team's targets, and Mike Gesicki 7% of his team's targets.
Pat Freiermuth has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Pat Freiermuth.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Pat Freiermuth nor Mike Gesicki has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Pat Freiermuth is projected by 5 of them and Mike Gesicki by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.