Too close to call: Tyler Higbee (8.0) and Mike Gesicki (7.8) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 8, and Tyler Higbee faces the 10th-toughest defense against TEs.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Tyler Higbee TE · LAR | Mike Gesicki TE · CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 8.0 | 7.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 6.6 | 7.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 9.0 | 8.3 |
| StatChasers projection | 9.0 (TE16) | 7.3 (TE21) |
| Opponent | vs LAC | vs TEN |
| Opponent vs. position | 10th-toughest (11.1 pts/g allowed) | 8th-toughest (10.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 11% target share (last 3) | 7% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | FLEX · Streamer | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Tyler Higbee projects for 8.0 PPR points and Mike Gesicki for 7.8, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 8.0 PPR points for Tyler Higbee and 7.8 for Mike Gesicki.
The sources range from 6.6 to 9.0 for Higbee and from 7.0 to 8.3 for Gesicki. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Mike Gesicki is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Gesicki at 7.0 PPR points, against 6.6 for Tyler Higbee.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Tyler Higbee has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Higbee at 9.0 PPR points, against 8.3 for Mike Gesicki.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Tyler Higbee plays LAC and Mike Gesicki plays TEN in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Higbee faces the 10th-toughest defense against TEs and Gesicki faces the 8th-toughest defense against TEs, so Tyler Higbee has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Tyler Higbee has drawn 11% of his team's targets, and Mike Gesicki 7% of his team's targets.
Tyler Higbee has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Tyler Higbee.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Tyler Higbee nor Mike Gesicki has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Tyler Higbee is projected by 5 of them and Mike Gesicki by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.