Start Nico Collins. Collins is projected for 16.1 PPR points vs 12.8 for Saquon Barkley, and faces the 16th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Nico Collins WR · HOU | Saquon Barkley RB · PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 16.1 | 12.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.9 | 11.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 18.6 | 14.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 15.8 (WR12) | 12.5 (RB24) |
| Opponent | vs LAC | vs NYG |
| Opponent vs. position | 16th-toughest (30.3 pts/g allowed) | 11th-toughest (19.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 18% target share (last 3) | 27% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong WR1 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Nico Collins. Collins projects for 16.1 PPR points vs LAC, against 12.8 for Saquon Barkley vs NYG: a 3.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Nico Collins is projected to score more: 16.1 PPR points to 12.8 for Saquon Barkley.
The sources range from 13.9 to 18.6 for Collins and from 11.5 to 14.7 for Barkley. The ranges overlap, so Barkley outscoring Collins is a realistic result.
Nico Collins is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Collins at 13.9 PPR points, against 11.5 for Saquon Barkley.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Nico Collins has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Collins at 18.6 PPR points, against 14.7 for Saquon Barkley.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Nico Collins plays LAC and Saquon Barkley plays NYG in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Collins faces the 16th-toughest defense against WRs and Barkley faces the 11th-toughest defense against RBs, so Nico Collins has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Nico Collins has drawn 18% of his team's targets, and Saquon Barkley 27% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Nico Collins.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Nico Collins nor Saquon Barkley has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Nico Collins is projected by 6 of them and Saquon Barkley by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.