Start Trey McBride. McBride is projected for 19.1 PPR points vs 15.1 for Tetairoa McMillan, and faces the 14th-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Trey McBride TE · ARI | Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 19.1 | 15.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 17.0 | 14.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 21.3 | 15.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 20.2 (TE1) | 15.7 (WR11) |
| Opponent | vs DAL | vs GB |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-toughest (12.4 pts/g allowed) | 9th-softest (35.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 26% target share (last 3) | 30% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | START · Strong WR1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Trey McBride. McBride projects for 19.1 PPR points vs DAL, against 15.1 for Tetairoa McMillan vs GB: a 4.0-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Trey McBride is projected to score more: 19.1 PPR points to 15.1 for Tetairoa McMillan.
The sources range from 17.0 to 21.3 for McBride and from 14.4 to 15.7 for McMillan. Even McMillan's highest projection is below McBride's lowest.
Trey McBride is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has McBride at 17.0 PPR points, against 14.4 for Tetairoa McMillan.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Trey McBride has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has McBride at 21.3 PPR points, against 15.7 for Tetairoa McMillan.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Trey McBride plays DAL and Tetairoa McMillan plays GB in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, McBride faces the 14th-toughest defense against TEs and McMillan faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs, so Tetairoa McMillan has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Trey McBride has drawn 26% of his team's targets, and Tetairoa McMillan 30% of his team's targets.
Tetairoa McMillan has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Tetairoa McMillan.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Trey McBride nor Tetairoa McMillan has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Trey McBride is projected by 5 of them and Tetairoa McMillan by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.