Too close to call: Travis Kelce (11.3) and Tony Pollard (11.2) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Travis Kelce faces the 3rd-toughest defense against TEs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Travis Kelce TE · KC | Tony Pollard RB · TEN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 11.3 | 11.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.1 | 9.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.1 | 13.4 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs SEA | vs CLE |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-toughest (9.1 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-toughest (16.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 14% target share (last 3) | 73% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | RB |
| Our call | START · TE1 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Travis Kelce projects for 11.3 PPR points and Tony Pollard for 11.2, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 11.3 PPR points for Travis Kelce and 11.2 for Tony Pollard.
The sources range from 10.1 to 12.1 for Kelce and from 9.1 to 13.4 for Pollard. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Travis Kelce is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Kelce at 10.1 PPR points, against 9.1 for Tony Pollard.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Tony Pollard has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Pollard at 13.4 PPR points, against 12.1 for Travis Kelce.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Travis Kelce plays SEA and Tony Pollard plays CLE in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Kelce faces the 3rd-toughest defense against TEs and Pollard faces the 2nd-toughest defense against RBs, so Travis Kelce has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Travis Kelce has drawn 14% of his team's targets, and Tony Pollard 73% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Travis Kelce.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Travis Kelce nor Tony Pollard has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Travis Kelce is projected by 4 of them and Tony Pollard by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.