Joshua Palmer 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 27
- Height / weight
- 6'1", 210 lb
- Experience
- 6th season
- Drafted
- 2021 R3, #77
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 7.2
- Pos rank
- WR58
- Rostered
- 3%
Week 4 vs. Patriots, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 15th vs. WRs, neutral
Joshua Palmer Rest-of-Season Outlook
depth WR for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR106 last season at 4.4 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR58 at 7.2 PPR points per game, against 4.4 over 12 games last season (WR106). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 87th of 142 in target volume (7.7% target share), 74th of 142 in downfield role (11.7% air-yards share) and 74th of 142 in efficiency (1.43 yards per route run). Target volume is the soft spot. Josh Allen is his quarterback.
He's WR2 on the depth chart, so his value depends on the players ahead of him.
The next favorable matchup is the Ravens in Week 8 (6th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Palmer's first Buffalo season was a quiet one on paper, but the underlying work hints at upside. Across 12 games he ran routes on just 39.7% of dropbacks, drew a 7.7% target share, and turned 37 looks into 22 grabs for 303 yards. The downfield role survived the move: 11.46 air yards per target and a 19.3 air-yards-per-reception mark rank among the deepest on the roster, and he posted a healthy 0.182 EPA per play with a 43.2% success rate despite zero touchdowns.
The story is opportunity, not ability. His 2024 baseline in Los Angeles, a 13.2% target share, 0.388 EPA per play, and 52.3% success rate, shows what fuller usage unlocks. With six red-zone targets already and consistent vertical separation, even a modest snap bump pushes him into flex relevance. He is a cheap late-round dart with real spike-week equity in a high-volume passing attack.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 11.5
- Drop rate
- 0.0%
- Red-zone targets
- 6
- Route participation
- 39.7%
- YAC per reception
- 2.5
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Ravens in Week 8 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 4 NE, 15thWk 5 LAR, 19thWk 6 LV, 29thWk 8 BAL, 6th
Risk
- RoleHe's WR2 on the depth chart.
- A tough matchupThe Raiders in Week 6 (29th) is among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
All Joshua Palmer stats & analysis
WRs like Joshua Palmer
Joshua Palmer Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Joshua Palmer's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Joshua Palmer projects as a depth WR for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His target volume (7.7% target share, 87th of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Joshua Palmer's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Joshua Palmer is the WR58 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Joshua Palmer's projected role going forward?
Joshua Palmer is WR2 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
Will Joshua Palmer get more targets?
Joshua Palmer's targets are holding steady: 1.5 a game over his last two games against 1.7 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Joshua Palmer's fantasy football upside?
Joshua Palmer's upside: his ceiling this season is 11.3 PPR points (Week 2, WR30) and the Ravens in Week 8 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.
What could hurt Joshua Palmer's fantasy value?
Joshua Palmer's risks: his target volume (7.7% target share, 87th of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Raiders in Week 6 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Joshua Palmer's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 1 comes against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.