Justin Watson Rest-of-Season Outlook

Watson's value has always lived on the vertical plane, and the numbers confirm a shrinking role. His best campaign came in 2023, when he turned 53 targets into 460 yards and three scores on a 17.5 air-yards-per-target diet and a healthy 1.35 yards per route. That market share quietly eroded the next year in Kansas City, where his target share slipped to 5.6 percent on 32 looks for 289 yards, even as his 0.596 EPA per play showed he remained efficient when used.

The 2025 stretch tells the real story: just three games, a 38.7 percent snap rate, four targets and 31 routes before things stalled. Now 29 and buried on Houston's depth chart, he profiles as a special-teams contributor and emergency deep option rather than a fantasy asset. Projections in the low single digits and near-zero roster rates are appropriate. Leave him on waivers until a clear path to volume materializes.