Start Jaylen Waddle. Waddle is projected for 11.7 PPR points vs 11.4 for Aaron Jones Sr., and faces the 10th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Jaylen Waddle WR · DEN | Aaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 11.7 | 11.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.2 | 8.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.7 | 12.7 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs ARI | vs IND |
| Opponent vs. position | 10th-softest (34.9 pts/g allowed) | 6th-softest (23.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 21% target share (last 3) | 69% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | RB |
| Our call | START · WR3 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jaylen Waddle. Waddle projects for 11.7 PPR points vs ARI, against 11.4 for Aaron Jones Sr. vs IND: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jaylen Waddle is projected to score more: 11.7 PPR points to 11.4 for Aaron Jones Sr..
The sources range from 11.2 to 12.7 for Waddle and from 8.5 to 12.7 for Jones Sr.. The ranges overlap, so Jones Sr. outscoring Waddle is a realistic result.
Jaylen Waddle is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Waddle at 11.2 PPR points, against 8.5 for Aaron Jones Sr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
They share the same ceiling, 12.7 PPR points.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jaylen Waddle plays ARI and Aaron Jones Sr. plays IND in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Waddle faces the 10th-softest defense against WRs and Jones Sr. faces the 6th-softest defense against RBs, so Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jaylen Waddle has drawn 21% of his team's targets, and Aaron Jones Sr. 69% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Jaylen Waddle.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jaylen Waddle nor Aaron Jones Sr. has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jaylen Waddle is projected by 4 of them and Aaron Jones Sr. by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.