Too close to call: Aaron Rodgers (15.1) and Patrick Mahomes (14.9) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 8, and Aaron Rodgers faces the 8th-toughest defense against QBs.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Aaron Rodgers QB · PIT | Patrick Mahomes QB · KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 15.1 | 14.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 14.1 | 11.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.1 | 16.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 14.3 (QB24) | 15.4 (QB21) |
| Opponent | vs CLE | vs DEN |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-toughest (15.4 pts/g allowed) | 12th-toughest (16.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Aaron Rodgers projects for 15.1 PPR points and Patrick Mahomes for 14.9, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 15.1 PPR points for Aaron Rodgers and 14.9 for Patrick Mahomes.
The sources range from 14.1 to 16.1 for Rodgers and from 11.6 to 16.8 for Mahomes. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Aaron Rodgers is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Rodgers at 14.1 PPR points, against 11.6 for Patrick Mahomes.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Patrick Mahomes has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Mahomes at 16.8 PPR points, against 16.1 for Aaron Rodgers.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Aaron Rodgers plays CLE and Patrick Mahomes plays DEN in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Rodgers faces the 8th-toughest defense against QBs and Mahomes faces the 12th-toughest defense against QBs, so Patrick Mahomes has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Aaron Rodgers nor Patrick Mahomes has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Aaron Rodgers is projected by 6 of them and Patrick Mahomes by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.