Start Caleb Williams. Williams is projected for 15.4 PPR points vs 14.9 for Patrick Mahomes, and faces the 2nd-toughest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Caleb Williams QB · CHI | Patrick Mahomes QB · KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 15.4 | 14.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.3 | 11.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.8 | 16.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.8 (QB15) | 15.4 (QB21) |
| Opponent | vs SEA | vs DEN |
| Opponent vs. position | 2nd-toughest (11.6 pts/g allowed) | 12th-toughest (16.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | FLEX · Streamer | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Caleb Williams. Williams projects for 15.4 PPR points vs SEA, against 14.9 for Patrick Mahomes vs DEN: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Caleb Williams is projected to score more: 15.4 PPR points to 14.9 for Patrick Mahomes.
The sources range from 11.3 to 16.8 for Williams and from 11.6 to 16.8 for Mahomes. The ranges overlap, so Mahomes outscoring Williams is a realistic result.
Patrick Mahomes is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Mahomes at 11.6 PPR points, against 11.3 for Caleb Williams.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
They share the same ceiling, 16.8 PPR points.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Caleb Williams plays SEA and Patrick Mahomes plays DEN in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Williams faces the 2nd-toughest defense against QBs and Mahomes faces the 12th-toughest defense against QBs, so Patrick Mahomes has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Caleb Williams nor Patrick Mahomes has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Caleb Williams is projected by 6 of them and Patrick Mahomes by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.