Start Antonio Williams. Williams is projected for 11.0 PPR points vs 10.7 for KC Concepcion Jr., and faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Antonio Williams WR · WAS | KC Concepcion Jr. WR · CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 11.0 | 10.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 9.7 | 10.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.8 | 11.4 |
| StatChasers projection | 10.7 (WR32) | 11.4 (WR27) |
| Opponent | vs LAR | vs NO |
| Opponent vs. position | 5th-toughest (26.8 pts/g allowed) | 14th-toughest (29.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 17% target share (last 3) | 20% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Antonio Williams. Williams projects for 11.0 PPR points vs LAR, against 10.7 for KC Concepcion Jr. vs NO: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Antonio Williams is projected to score more: 11.0 PPR points to 10.7 for KC Concepcion Jr..
The sources range from 9.7 to 12.8 for Williams and from 10.2 to 11.4 for Concepcion Jr.. The ranges overlap, so Concepcion Jr. outscoring Williams is a realistic result.
KC Concepcion Jr. is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Concepcion Jr. at 10.2 PPR points, against 9.7 for Antonio Williams.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Antonio Williams has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Williams at 12.8 PPR points, against 11.4 for KC Concepcion Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Antonio Williams plays LAR and KC Concepcion Jr. plays NO in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Williams faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs and Concepcion Jr. faces the 14th-toughest defense against WRs, so KC Concepcion Jr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Antonio Williams has drawn 17% of his team's targets, and KC Concepcion Jr. 20% of his team's targets.
KC Concepcion Jr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is KC Concepcion Jr..
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Antonio Williams nor KC Concepcion Jr. has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Antonio Williams is projected by 6 of them and KC Concepcion Jr. by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.