Start Caleb Douglas. Douglas is projected for 7.6 PPR points vs 6.1 for Adonai Mitchell, and faces the 13th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Caleb Douglas WR · MIA | Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 7.6 | 6.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 9.2 | 7.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 8.8 (WR46) | 5.8 (WR61) |
| Opponent | vs NE | vs LV |
| Opponent vs. position | 13th-softest (32.1 pts/g allowed) | 15th-softest (31.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 18% target share (last 3) | 21% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Caleb Douglas. Douglas projects for 7.6 PPR points vs NE, against 6.1 for Adonai Mitchell vs LV: a 1.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Caleb Douglas is projected to score more: 7.6 PPR points to 6.1 for Adonai Mitchell.
The sources range from 5.1 to 9.2 for Douglas and from 4.8 to 7.5 for Mitchell. The ranges overlap, so Mitchell outscoring Douglas is a realistic result.
Caleb Douglas is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Douglas at 5.1 PPR points, against 4.8 for Adonai Mitchell.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Caleb Douglas has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Douglas at 9.2 PPR points, against 7.5 for Adonai Mitchell.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Caleb Douglas plays NE and Adonai Mitchell plays LV in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Douglas faces the 13th-softest defense against WRs and Mitchell faces the 15th-softest defense against WRs, so Caleb Douglas has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Caleb Douglas has drawn 18% of his team's targets, and Adonai Mitchell 21% of his team's targets.
Adonai Mitchell has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Adonai Mitchell.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Caleb Douglas nor Adonai Mitchell has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Caleb Douglas is projected by 5 of them and Adonai Mitchell by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.