Start Saquon Barkley. Barkley is projected for 12.8 PPR points vs 2.0 for A.J. Brown, and faces the 11th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Saquon Barkley RB · PHI | A.J. Brown WR · NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 12.8 | 2.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.5 | 2.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.7 | 2.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.5 (RB24) | — |
| Opponent | vs NYG | Bye |
| Opponent vs. position | 11th-toughest (19.8 pts/g allowed) | — |
| Recent usage | 27% carry share (last 3) | 22% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · RB2 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Saquon Barkley. Barkley projects for 12.8 PPR points vs NYG, against 2.0 for A.J. Brown on a bye: a 10.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Saquon Barkley is projected to score more: 12.8 PPR points to 2.0 for A.J. Brown.
The sources range from 11.5 to 14.7 for Barkley and from 2.0 to 2.0 for Brown. Even Brown's highest projection is below Barkley's lowest.
Saquon Barkley is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Barkley at 11.5 PPR points, against 2.0 for A.J. Brown.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Saquon Barkley has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Barkley at 14.7 PPR points, against 2.0 for A.J. Brown.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Saquon Barkley plays NYG and A.J. Brown is on a bye in Week 9.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Saquon Barkley has drawn 27% of his team's carries, and A.J. Brown 22% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is A.J. Brown.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Saquon Barkley has no injury designation, and A.J. Brown is on a bye.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Saquon Barkley is projected by 6 of them and A.J. Brown by 1.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.