Start Alvin Kamara. Kamara is projected for 11.6 PPR points vs 7.3 for Elijah Mitchell, and faces the 15th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Alvin Kamara RB · NO | Elijah Mitchell RB · PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 11.6 | 7.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 9.5 | 6.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.6 | 8.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 9.5 (RB30) | 6.6 (RB40) |
| Opponent | vs CLE | vs NYG |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-toughest (21.1 pts/g allowed) | 11th-toughest (19.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 22% carry share (last 3) | 26% carry share (last 2) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Alvin Kamara. Kamara projects for 11.6 PPR points vs CLE, against 7.3 for Elijah Mitchell vs NYG: a 4.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Alvin Kamara is projected to score more: 11.6 PPR points to 7.3 for Elijah Mitchell.
The sources range from 9.5 to 12.6 for Kamara and from 6.6 to 8.8 for Mitchell. Even Mitchell's highest projection is below Kamara's lowest.
Alvin Kamara is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Kamara at 9.5 PPR points, against 6.6 for Elijah Mitchell.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Alvin Kamara has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Kamara at 12.6 PPR points, against 8.8 for Elijah Mitchell.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Alvin Kamara plays CLE and Elijah Mitchell plays NYG in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Kamara faces the 15th-toughest defense against RBs and Mitchell faces the 11th-toughest defense against RBs, so Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Alvin Kamara has drawn 22% of his team's carries, and Elijah Mitchell 26% of his team's carries.
Elijah Mitchell has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Alvin Kamara nor Elijah Mitchell has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Alvin Kamara is projected by 6 of them and Elijah Mitchell by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.