Start Alvin Kamara. Kamara is projected for 8.9 PPR points vs 7.5 for Rico Dowdle, and faces the 15th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Alvin Kamara RB · NO | Rico Dowdle RB · PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 8.9 | 7.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.6 | 5.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.2 | 8.9 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs PIT | vs NO |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-toughest (20.5 pts/g allowed) | 1st-softest (29.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 23% carry share (last 3) | 33% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Alvin Kamara. Kamara projects for 8.9 PPR points vs PIT, against 7.5 for Rico Dowdle vs NO: a 1.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Alvin Kamara is projected to score more: 8.9 PPR points to 7.5 for Rico Dowdle.
The sources range from 7.6 to 11.2 for Kamara and from 5.9 to 8.9 for Dowdle. The ranges overlap, so Dowdle outscoring Kamara is a realistic result.
Alvin Kamara is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Kamara at 7.6 PPR points, against 5.9 for Rico Dowdle.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Alvin Kamara has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Kamara at 11.2 PPR points, against 8.9 for Rico Dowdle.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Alvin Kamara plays PIT and Rico Dowdle plays NO in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Kamara faces the 15th-toughest defense against RBs and Dowdle faces the 1st-softest defense against RBs, so Rico Dowdle has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Alvin Kamara has drawn 23% of his team's carries, and Rico Dowdle 33% of his team's carries.
Rico Dowdle has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Alvin Kamara nor Rico Dowdle has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Alvin Kamara is projected by 5 of them and Rico Dowdle by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.