Start Geno Smith. Smith is projected for 16.2 PPR points vs 15.3 for Baker Mayfield, and faces the 5th-softest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Geno Smith QB · NYJ | Baker Mayfield QB · TB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 16.2 | 15.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.5 | 12.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 18.5 | 16.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 15.8 (QB19) | 16.5 (QB16) |
| Opponent | vs LV | vs ATL |
| Opponent vs. position | 5th-softest (20.8 pts/g allowed) | 13th-softest (18.0 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | FLEX · Streamer |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Geno Smith. Smith projects for 16.2 PPR points vs LV, against 15.3 for Baker Mayfield vs ATL: a 0.9-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Geno Smith is projected to score more: 16.2 PPR points to 15.3 for Baker Mayfield.
The sources range from 13.5 to 18.5 for Smith and from 12.9 to 16.5 for Mayfield. The ranges overlap, so Mayfield outscoring Smith is a realistic result.
Geno Smith is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Smith at 13.5 PPR points, against 12.9 for Baker Mayfield.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Geno Smith has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Smith at 18.5 PPR points, against 16.5 for Baker Mayfield.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Geno Smith plays LV and Baker Mayfield plays ATL in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Smith faces the 5th-softest defense against QBs and Mayfield faces the 13th-softest defense against QBs, so Geno Smith has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Geno Smith nor Baker Mayfield has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Geno Smith is projected by 6 of them and Baker Mayfield by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.