Start Tyler Shough. Shough is projected for 15.0 PPR points vs 13.8 for Baker Mayfield, and faces the 4th-toughest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Tyler Shough QB · NO | Baker Mayfield QB · TB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 15.0 | 13.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.4 | 15.4 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs PIT | vs CAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 4th-toughest (12.9 pts/g allowed) | 13th-softest (18.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Tyler Shough. Shough projects for 15.0 PPR points vs PIT, against 13.8 for Baker Mayfield vs CAR: a 1.2-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Tyler Shough is projected to score more: 15.0 PPR points to 13.8 for Baker Mayfield.
The sources range from 11.8 to 16.4 for Shough and from 10.8 to 15.4 for Mayfield. The ranges overlap, so Mayfield outscoring Shough is a realistic result.
Tyler Shough is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Shough at 11.8 PPR points, against 10.8 for Baker Mayfield.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Tyler Shough has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Shough at 16.4 PPR points, against 15.4 for Baker Mayfield.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Tyler Shough plays PIT and Baker Mayfield plays CAR in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Shough faces the 4th-toughest defense against QBs and Mayfield faces the 13th-softest defense against QBs, so Baker Mayfield has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Tyler Shough nor Baker Mayfield has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Tyler Shough is projected by 5 of them and Baker Mayfield by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.