Start Caleb Williams. Williams is projected for 17.1 PPR points vs 15.9 for Bo Nix, and faces the 6th-toughest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Caleb Williams QB · CHI | Bo Nix QB · DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 17.1 | 15.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 19.2 | 19.2 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NE | vs ARI |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-toughest (14.6 pts/g allowed) | 4th-softest (22.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | START · QB1 | FLEX · Streamer |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Caleb Williams. Williams projects for 17.1 PPR points vs NE, against 15.9 for Bo Nix vs ARI: a 1.2-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Caleb Williams is projected to score more: 17.1 PPR points to 15.9 for Bo Nix.
The sources range from 12.6 to 19.2 for Williams and from 12.6 to 19.2 for Nix. The ranges overlap, so Nix outscoring Williams is a realistic result.
They share the same floor, 12.6 PPR points.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
They share the same ceiling, 19.2 PPR points.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Caleb Williams plays NE and Bo Nix plays ARI in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Williams faces the 6th-toughest defense against QBs and Nix faces the 4th-softest defense against QBs, so Bo Nix has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Caleb Williams nor Bo Nix has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Caleb Williams is projected by 5 of them and Bo Nix by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.