Start Caleb Williams. Williams is projected for 17.1 PPR points vs 16.6 for Kyler Murray, and faces the 6th-toughest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Caleb Williams QB · CHI | Kyler Murray QB · MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 17.1 | 16.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 12.6 | 15.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 19.2 | 18.0 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NE | vs IND |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-toughest (14.6 pts/g allowed) | 11th-softest (18.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | START · QB1 | FLEX · Streamer |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Caleb Williams. Williams projects for 17.1 PPR points vs NE, against 16.6 for Kyler Murray vs IND: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Caleb Williams is projected to score more: 17.1 PPR points to 16.6 for Kyler Murray.
The sources range from 12.6 to 19.2 for Williams and from 15.4 to 18.0 for Murray. The ranges overlap, so Murray outscoring Williams is a realistic result.
Kyler Murray is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Murray at 15.4 PPR points, against 12.6 for Caleb Williams.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Caleb Williams has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Williams at 19.2 PPR points, against 18.0 for Kyler Murray.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Caleb Williams plays NE and Kyler Murray plays IND in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Williams faces the 6th-toughest defense against QBs and Murray faces the 11th-softest defense against QBs, so Kyler Murray has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Caleb Williams nor Kyler Murray has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Caleb Williams is projected by 5 of them and Kyler Murray by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.