Start C.J. Stroud. Stroud is projected for 18.3 PPR points vs 17.1 for Caleb Williams, and faces the 7th-softest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| C.J. Stroud QB · HOU | Caleb Williams QB · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 18.3 | 17.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 17.2 | 12.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 19.5 | 19.2 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NYG | vs NE |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-softest (21.1 pts/g allowed) | 6th-toughest (14.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | START · QB1 | START · QB1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start C.J. Stroud. Stroud projects for 18.3 PPR points vs NYG, against 17.1 for Caleb Williams vs NE: a 1.2-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
C.J. Stroud is projected to score more: 18.3 PPR points to 17.1 for Caleb Williams.
The sources range from 17.2 to 19.5 for Stroud and from 12.6 to 19.2 for Williams. The ranges overlap, so Williams outscoring Stroud is a realistic result.
C.J. Stroud is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Stroud at 17.2 PPR points, against 12.6 for Caleb Williams.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
C.J. Stroud has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Stroud at 19.5 PPR points, against 19.2 for Caleb Williams.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
C.J. Stroud plays NYG and Caleb Williams plays NE in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Stroud faces the 7th-softest defense against QBs and Williams faces the 6th-toughest defense against QBs, so C.J. Stroud has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither C.J. Stroud nor Caleb Williams has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). C.J. Stroud is projected by 5 of them and Caleb Williams by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.