Start Drew Lock. Lock is projected for 16.0 PPR points vs 14.8 for Bo Nix, and faces the 2nd-softest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Drew Lock QB · SEA | Bo Nix QB · DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 16.0 | 14.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.6 | 11.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.2 | 16.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.2 (QB18) | 16.5 (QB17) |
| Opponent | vs ARI | vs CAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 2nd-softest (22.3 pts/g allowed) | 15th-toughest (17.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Drew Lock. Lock projects for 16.0 PPR points vs ARI, against 14.8 for Bo Nix vs CAR: a 1.2-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Drew Lock is projected to score more: 16.0 PPR points to 14.8 for Bo Nix.
The sources range from 13.6 to 17.2 for Lock and from 11.0 to 16.5 for Nix. The ranges overlap, so Nix outscoring Lock is a realistic result.
Drew Lock is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Lock at 13.6 PPR points, against 11.0 for Bo Nix.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Drew Lock has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Lock at 17.2 PPR points, against 16.5 for Bo Nix.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Drew Lock plays ARI and Bo Nix plays CAR in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Lock faces the 2nd-softest defense against QBs and Nix faces the 15th-toughest defense against QBs, so Drew Lock has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Drew Lock nor Bo Nix has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Drew Lock is projected by 6 of them and Bo Nix by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.