Start Braelon Allen. Allen is projected for 9.7 PPR points vs 7.3 for Chris Rodriguez Jr., and faces the 10th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Braelon Allen RB · NYJ | Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 9.7 | 7.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 9.0 | 5.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.7 | 13.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 9.4 (RB31) | 13.5 (RB20) |
| Opponent | vs KC | vs BAL |
| Opponent vs. position | 10th-toughest (19.8 pts/g allowed) | 8th-toughest (19.5 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 73% carry share (last 3) | 22% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Braelon Allen. Allen projects for 9.7 PPR points vs KC, against 7.3 for Chris Rodriguez Jr. vs BAL: a 2.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Braelon Allen is projected to score more: 9.7 PPR points to 7.3 for Chris Rodriguez Jr..
The sources range from 9.0 to 10.7 for Allen and from 5.4 to 13.5 for Rodriguez Jr.. The ranges overlap, so Rodriguez Jr. outscoring Allen is a realistic result.
Braelon Allen is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Allen at 9.0 PPR points, against 5.4 for Chris Rodriguez Jr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Rodriguez Jr. at 13.5 PPR points, against 10.7 for Braelon Allen.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Braelon Allen plays KC and Chris Rodriguez Jr. plays BAL in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Allen faces the 10th-toughest defense against RBs and Rodriguez Jr. faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs, so Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Braelon Allen has drawn 73% of his team's carries, and Chris Rodriguez Jr. 22% of his team's carries.
Braelon Allen has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Braelon Allen nor Chris Rodriguez Jr. has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Braelon Allen is projected by 6 of them and Chris Rodriguez Jr. by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.