Start Josh Downs. Downs is projected for 9.5 PPR points vs 9.2 for Braelon Allen, and faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Josh Downs WR · IND | Braelon Allen RB · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 9.5 | 9.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.4 | 5.8 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.6 | 15.0 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs MIN | vs MIA |
| Opponent vs. position | 5th-toughest (27.1 pts/g allowed) | 4th-softest (26.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 16% target share (last 3) | 75% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | RB |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Josh Downs. Downs projects for 9.5 PPR points vs MIN, against 9.2 for Braelon Allen vs MIA: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Josh Downs is projected to score more: 9.5 PPR points to 9.2 for Braelon Allen.
The sources range from 8.4 to 10.6 for Downs and from 5.8 to 15.0 for Allen. The ranges overlap, so Allen outscoring Downs is a realistic result.
Josh Downs is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Downs at 8.4 PPR points, against 5.8 for Braelon Allen.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Braelon Allen has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Allen at 15.0 PPR points, against 10.6 for Josh Downs.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Josh Downs plays MIN and Braelon Allen plays MIA in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Downs faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs and Allen faces the 4th-softest defense against RBs, so Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Josh Downs has drawn 16% of his team's targets, and Braelon Allen 75% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Josh Downs.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Josh Downs nor Braelon Allen has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Josh Downs is projected by 4 of them and Braelon Allen by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.