Start Courtland Sutton. Sutton is projected for 8.7 PPR points vs 7.6 for Caleb Douglas, and faces the 2nd-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Courtland Sutton WR · DEN | Caleb Douglas WR · MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 8.7 | 7.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.3 | 5.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.2 | 9.2 |
| StatChasers projection | 10.2 (WR35) | 8.8 (WR46) |
| Opponent | vs KC | vs NE |
| Opponent vs. position | 2nd-toughest (23.7 pts/g allowed) | 13th-softest (32.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 16% target share (last 3) | 18% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Courtland Sutton. Sutton projects for 8.7 PPR points vs KC, against 7.6 for Caleb Douglas vs NE: a 1.1-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Courtland Sutton is projected to score more: 8.7 PPR points to 7.6 for Caleb Douglas.
The sources range from 7.3 to 10.2 for Sutton and from 5.1 to 9.2 for Douglas. The ranges overlap, so Douglas outscoring Sutton is a realistic result.
Courtland Sutton is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Sutton at 7.3 PPR points, against 5.1 for Caleb Douglas.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Courtland Sutton has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Sutton at 10.2 PPR points, against 9.2 for Caleb Douglas.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Courtland Sutton plays KC and Caleb Douglas plays NE in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Sutton faces the 2nd-toughest defense against WRs and Douglas faces the 13th-softest defense against WRs, so Caleb Douglas has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Courtland Sutton has drawn 16% of his team's targets, and Caleb Douglas 18% of his team's targets.
Caleb Douglas has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Caleb Douglas.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Courtland Sutton nor Caleb Douglas has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Courtland Sutton is projected by 5 of them and Caleb Douglas by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.