Start Jonathan Taylor. Taylor is projected for 16.6 PPR points vs 15.8 for Christian Watson, and faces the 2nd-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Jonathan Taylor RB · IND | Christian Watson WR · GB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 16.6 | 15.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 15.9 | 14.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.8 | 18.2 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.2 (RB15) | 15.2 (WR13) |
| Opponent | vs JAX | vs CAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 2nd-toughest (17.3 pts/g allowed) | 6th-toughest (27.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 62% carry share (last 3) | 21% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jonathan Taylor. Taylor projects for 16.6 PPR points vs JAX, against 15.8 for Christian Watson vs CAR: a 0.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jonathan Taylor is projected to score more: 16.6 PPR points to 15.8 for Christian Watson.
The sources range from 15.9 to 17.8 for Taylor and from 14.5 to 18.2 for Watson. The ranges overlap, so Watson outscoring Taylor is a realistic result.
Jonathan Taylor is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Taylor at 15.9 PPR points, against 14.5 for Christian Watson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Christian Watson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Watson at 18.2 PPR points, against 17.8 for Jonathan Taylor.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jonathan Taylor plays JAX and Christian Watson plays CAR in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Taylor faces the 2nd-toughest defense against RBs and Watson faces the 6th-toughest defense against WRs, so Christian Watson has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jonathan Taylor has drawn 62% of his team's carries, and Christian Watson 21% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Christian Watson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jonathan Taylor nor Christian Watson has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jonathan Taylor is projected by 6 of them and Christian Watson by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.