Start Christian Watson. Watson is projected for 15.8 PPR points vs 15.4 for Rhamondre Stevenson, and faces the 10th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Christian Watson WR · GB | Rhamondre Stevenson RB · NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 15.8 | 15.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 15.0 | 13.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.9 | 17.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 15.9 (WR11) | 16.7 (RB9) |
| Opponent | vs NE | vs GB |
| Opponent vs. position | 10th-softest (33.8 pts/g allowed) | 7th-softest (25.0 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 22% target share (last 3) | 44% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong WR1 | START · Strong RB1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Christian Watson. Watson projects for 15.8 PPR points vs NE, against 15.4 for Rhamondre Stevenson vs GB: a 0.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Christian Watson is projected to score more: 15.8 PPR points to 15.4 for Rhamondre Stevenson.
The sources range from 15.0 to 16.9 for Watson and from 13.9 to 17.6 for Stevenson. The ranges overlap, so Stevenson outscoring Watson is a realistic result.
Christian Watson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Watson at 15.0 PPR points, against 13.9 for Rhamondre Stevenson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Rhamondre Stevenson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Stevenson at 17.6 PPR points, against 16.9 for Christian Watson.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Christian Watson plays NE and Rhamondre Stevenson plays GB in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Watson faces the 10th-softest defense against WRs and Stevenson faces the 7th-softest defense against RBs, so Rhamondre Stevenson has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Christian Watson has drawn 22% of his team's targets, and Rhamondre Stevenson 44% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Christian Watson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Christian Watson nor Rhamondre Stevenson has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Christian Watson is projected by 6 of them and Rhamondre Stevenson by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.