Start Colston Loveland. Loveland is projected for 13.2 PPR points vs 12.8 for Zay Flowers, and faces the 11th-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Colston Loveland TE · CHI | Zay Flowers WR · BAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 13.2 | 12.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.9 | 11.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.0 | 13.9 |
| StatChasers projection | 13.6 (TE4) | 11.3 (WR30) |
| Opponent | vs TB | vs JAX |
| Opponent vs. position | 11th-softest (14.8 pts/g allowed) | 6th-softest (36.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 29% target share (last 3) | 30% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Colston Loveland. Loveland projects for 13.2 PPR points vs TB, against 12.8 for Zay Flowers vs JAX: a 0.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Colston Loveland is projected to score more: 13.2 PPR points to 12.8 for Zay Flowers.
The sources range from 10.9 to 17.0 for Loveland and from 11.3 to 13.9 for Flowers. The ranges overlap, so Flowers outscoring Loveland is a realistic result.
Zay Flowers is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Flowers at 11.3 PPR points, against 10.9 for Colston Loveland.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Colston Loveland has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Loveland at 17.0 PPR points, against 13.9 for Zay Flowers.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Colston Loveland plays TB and Zay Flowers plays JAX in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Loveland faces the 11th-softest defense against TEs and Flowers faces the 6th-softest defense against WRs, so Zay Flowers has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Colston Loveland has drawn 29% of his team's targets, and Zay Flowers 30% of his team's targets.
Zay Flowers has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Zay Flowers.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Colston Loveland nor Zay Flowers has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Colston Loveland is projected by 5 of them and Zay Flowers by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.