Start Davante Adams. Adams is projected for 13.5 PPR points vs 12.9 for Isaiah Likely.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Davante Adams WR · LAR | Isaiah Likely TE · NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 13.5 | 12.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.5 | 12.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 13.5 | 14.3 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | Bye | vs HOU |
| Opponent vs. position | — | 11th-toughest (10.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 15% target share (last 3) | 29% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | TE |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · Strong TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Davante Adams. Adams projects for 13.5 PPR points on a bye, against 12.9 for Isaiah Likely vs HOU: a 0.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Davante Adams is projected to score more: 13.5 PPR points to 12.9 for Isaiah Likely.
The sources range from 13.5 to 13.5 for Adams and from 12.0 to 14.3 for Likely. The ranges overlap, so Likely outscoring Adams is a realistic result.
Davante Adams is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Adams at 13.5 PPR points, against 12.0 for Isaiah Likely.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Isaiah Likely has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Likely at 14.3 PPR points, against 13.5 for Davante Adams.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Davante Adams is on a bye and Isaiah Likely plays HOU in Week 7.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Davante Adams has drawn 15% of his team's targets, and Isaiah Likely 29% of his team's targets.
Isaiah Likely has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Isaiah Likely.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Davante Adams is on a bye, and Isaiah Likely has no injury designation.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Davante Adams is projected by 1 of them and Isaiah Likely by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.