Too close to call: DeVonta Smith (13.1) and Isaiah Likely (12.9) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and DeVonta Smith faces the 7th-softest defense against WRs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| DeVonta Smith WR · PHI | Isaiah Likely TE · NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 13.1 | 12.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.6 | 12.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.1 | 14.3 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs DAL | vs HOU |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-softest (36.2 pts/g allowed) | 11th-toughest (10.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 34% target share (last 3) | 29% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | TE |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · Strong TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. DeVonta Smith projects for 13.1 PPR points and Isaiah Likely for 12.9, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 13.1 PPR points for DeVonta Smith and 12.9 for Isaiah Likely.
The sources range from 11.6 to 14.1 for Smith and from 12.0 to 14.3 for Likely. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Isaiah Likely is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Likely at 12.0 PPR points, against 11.6 for DeVonta Smith.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Isaiah Likely has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Likely at 14.3 PPR points, against 14.1 for DeVonta Smith.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
DeVonta Smith plays DAL and Isaiah Likely plays HOU in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Smith faces the 7th-softest defense against WRs and Likely faces the 11th-toughest defense against TEs, so DeVonta Smith has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games DeVonta Smith has drawn 34% of his team's targets, and Isaiah Likely 29% of his team's targets.
DeVonta Smith has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is DeVonta Smith.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither DeVonta Smith nor Isaiah Likely has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). DeVonta Smith is projected by 3 of them and Isaiah Likely by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.