Start DK Metcalf. Metcalf is projected for 13.5 PPR points vs 12.9 for Isaiah Likely, and faces the 16th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| DK Metcalf WR · PIT | Isaiah Likely TE · NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 13.5 | 12.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 12.4 | 12.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.8 | 14.3 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NO | vs HOU |
| Opponent vs. position | 16th-softest (31.8 pts/g allowed) | 11th-toughest (10.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 25% target share (last 3) | 29% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | TE |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · Strong TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start DK Metcalf. Metcalf projects for 13.5 PPR points vs NO, against 12.9 for Isaiah Likely vs HOU: a 0.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
DK Metcalf is projected to score more: 13.5 PPR points to 12.9 for Isaiah Likely.
The sources range from 12.4 to 14.8 for Metcalf and from 12.0 to 14.3 for Likely. The ranges overlap, so Likely outscoring Metcalf is a realistic result.
DK Metcalf is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Metcalf at 12.4 PPR points, against 12.0 for Isaiah Likely.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
DK Metcalf has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Metcalf at 14.8 PPR points, against 14.3 for Isaiah Likely.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
DK Metcalf plays NO and Isaiah Likely plays HOU in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Metcalf faces the 16th-softest defense against WRs and Likely faces the 11th-toughest defense against TEs, so DK Metcalf has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games DK Metcalf has drawn 25% of his team's targets, and Isaiah Likely 29% of his team's targets.
Isaiah Likely has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Isaiah Likely.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither DK Metcalf nor Isaiah Likely has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). DK Metcalf is projected by 4 of them and Isaiah Likely by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.