Start George Pickens. Pickens is projected for 13.8 PPR points vs 11.2 for DeMario Douglas, and faces the 6th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| George Pickens WR · DAL | DeMario Douglas WR · NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 13.8 | 11.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.3 | 8.8 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.7 | 13.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 14.7 (WR16) | 10.4 (WR34) |
| Opponent | vs IND | vs GB |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-toughest (27.4 pts/g allowed) | 9th-softest (34.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 19% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start George Pickens. Pickens projects for 13.8 PPR points vs IND, against 11.2 for DeMario Douglas vs GB: a 2.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
George Pickens is projected to score more: 13.8 PPR points to 11.2 for DeMario Douglas.
The sources range from 13.3 to 14.7 for Pickens and from 8.8 to 13.5 for Douglas. The ranges overlap, so Douglas outscoring Pickens is a realistic result.
George Pickens is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Pickens at 13.3 PPR points, against 8.8 for DeMario Douglas.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
George Pickens has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Pickens at 14.7 PPR points, against 13.5 for DeMario Douglas.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
George Pickens plays IND and DeMario Douglas plays GB in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Pickens faces the 6th-toughest defense against WRs and Douglas faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs, so DeMario Douglas has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games George Pickens has drawn 19% of his team's targets, and DeMario Douglas 19% of his team's targets.
George Pickens has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is George Pickens.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither George Pickens nor DeMario Douglas has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). George Pickens is projected by 6 of them and DeMario Douglas by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.