Start DeMario Douglas. Douglas is projected for 9.5 PPR points vs 9.2 for Keenan Allen, and faces the 15th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| DeMario Douglas WR · NE | Keenan Allen WR · IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 9.5 | 9.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.6 | 8.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs CHI | vs MIN |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-toughest (31.5 pts/g allowed) | 5th-toughest (27.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 17% target share (last 3) | 25% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start DeMario Douglas. Douglas projects for 9.5 PPR points vs CHI, against 9.2 for Keenan Allen vs MIN: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
DeMario Douglas is projected to score more: 9.5 PPR points to 9.2 for Keenan Allen.
The sources range from 8.6 to 10.5 for Douglas and from 8.7 to 9.8 for Allen. The ranges overlap, so Allen outscoring Douglas is a realistic result.
Keenan Allen is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Allen at 8.7 PPR points, against 8.6 for DeMario Douglas.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
DeMario Douglas has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Douglas at 10.5 PPR points, against 9.8 for Keenan Allen.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
DeMario Douglas plays CHI and Keenan Allen plays MIN in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Douglas faces the 15th-toughest defense against WRs and Allen faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs, so DeMario Douglas has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games DeMario Douglas has drawn 17% of his team's targets, and Keenan Allen 25% of his team's targets.
Keenan Allen has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Keenan Allen.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither DeMario Douglas nor Keenan Allen has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). DeMario Douglas is projected by 4 of them and Keenan Allen by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.