Too close to call: Woody Marks (13.2) and DeVonta Smith (13.1) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Woody Marks faces the 15th-softest defense against RBs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Woody Marks RB · HOU | DeVonta Smith WR · PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 13.2 | 13.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.4 | 11.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.9 | 14.1 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NYG | vs DAL |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-softest (21.6 pts/g allowed) | 7th-softest (36.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 51% carry share (last 3) | 34% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Woody Marks projects for 13.2 PPR points and DeVonta Smith for 13.1, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 13.2 PPR points for Woody Marks and 13.1 for DeVonta Smith.
The sources range from 10.4 to 14.9 for Marks and from 11.6 to 14.1 for Smith. Either result is well inside both ranges.
DeVonta Smith is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Smith at 11.6 PPR points, against 10.4 for Woody Marks.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Woody Marks has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Marks at 14.9 PPR points, against 14.1 for DeVonta Smith.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Woody Marks plays NYG and DeVonta Smith plays DAL in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Marks faces the 15th-softest defense against RBs and Smith faces the 7th-softest defense against WRs, so DeVonta Smith has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Woody Marks has drawn 51% of his team's carries, and DeVonta Smith 34% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is DeVonta Smith.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Woody Marks nor DeVonta Smith has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Woody Marks is projected by 5 of them and DeVonta Smith by 3.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.