Start Drake Maye. Maye is projected for 20.7 PPR points vs 16.2 for Geno Smith, and faces the 7th-softest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Drake Maye QB · NE | Geno Smith QB · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 20.7 | 16.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 17.3 | 13.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 23.6 | 18.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 20.2 (QB3) | 15.8 (QB19) |
| Opponent | vs MIA | vs LV |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-softest (20.3 pts/g allowed) | 5th-softest (20.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | START · Strong QB1 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Drake Maye. Maye projects for 20.7 PPR points vs MIA, against 16.2 for Geno Smith vs LV: a 4.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Drake Maye is projected to score more: 20.7 PPR points to 16.2 for Geno Smith.
The sources range from 17.3 to 23.6 for Maye and from 13.5 to 18.5 for Smith. The ranges overlap, so Smith outscoring Maye is a realistic result.
Drake Maye is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Maye at 17.3 PPR points, against 13.5 for Geno Smith.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Drake Maye has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Maye at 23.6 PPR points, against 18.5 for Geno Smith.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Drake Maye plays MIA and Geno Smith plays LV in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Maye faces the 7th-softest defense against QBs and Smith faces the 5th-softest defense against QBs, so Geno Smith has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Drake Maye nor Geno Smith has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Drake Maye is projected by 6 of them and Geno Smith by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.